Regulatory Notice: Spectre Finance operates as an impersonal quantitative research publisher pursuant to 15 U.S.C. § 80b-2(a)(11)(D). Non-advisory financial telemetry.
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SPECTREQUANTITATIVE INTELLIGENCE
Regular 5-Minute Ingestion Cadence • Impersonal Research

Directional consensus & probability telemetry for liquid markets.

Spectre Finance operates as an impersonal quantitative publisher under 15 U.S.C. § 80b-2(a)(11)(D). We ingest mechanical machine learning consensus vectors, directional probabilities, and conviction scores from remote compute clusters every 300 seconds.

Public Research Tier — Directional Consensus (T-24H Delayed)

Impersonal historical snapshot. Live 5-minute pulses are reserved for subscribers.

T-24H Delayed
SPY
S&P 500 ETF
▲ Increase
78.4%Conviction: 91.2%
Δ 24h: +3.2%24h Snapshot
QQQ
Nasdaq 100 ETF
▲ Increase
82.1%Conviction: 88.5%
Δ 24h: +5.7%24h Snapshot
BTC
Bitcoin / USD
▼ Decrease
65.9%Conviction: 62%
Δ 24h: -1.4%24h Snapshot
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
▲ Increase
89.3%Conviction: 94.1%
Δ 24h: +8.1%24h Snapshot
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
▲ Increase
55.2%Conviction: 51%
Δ 24h: -0.8%24h Snapshot
TLT
20+ Year Treasury Bond
▼ Decrease
58.7%Conviction: 46.5%
Δ 24h: -2.1%24h Snapshot

Historical Trajectory vs. Predicted Vector & Residual Error

Model directional accuracy & residual deviation across consecutive execution cycles

Directional Accuracy
76.4%
Mean Absolute Error
0.14%
Brier Loss Index
0.138
Active Point Residual
+0.35
Actual PricePredicted Vector
Hover point to inspect timestep delta

Model Calibration & Dispersion

Empirical Brier reliability score over rolling window

Brier: 0.142
< 50.0%
42 signals (8.4%)
50.0 – 64.9%
156 signals (31.2%)
65.0 – 74.9%
184 signals (36.8%)
75.0 – 84.9%
88 signals (17.6%)
≥ 85.0%
30 signals (6%)
Evaluated across N = 500 signalsProper Scoring Rule Validated

Decoupled Two-Server Ingestion Specification

Rich JSON schema payload with directional vector and residual error tracking

// 5-Minute Ingestion Webhook Payload
POST /api/webhooks/ingest
Authorization: Bearer <INGESTION_SECRET>
{
  "asset": "SPY",
  "direction": "increase",
  "probability": 78.40,
  "confidence_score": 91.20,
  "actual_price": 582.40,
  "predicted_vector": 584.10,
  "timestamp": "2026-10-06T05:00:00Z"
}

External ML clusters run statistical classifier ensembles across multi-timeframe order flow, pushing authenticated confidence telemetry directly to PostgreSQL every 300 seconds.

Institutional Research Pass

Full Live Telemetry Access

Zero-latency 5-minute automated pulses, multi-asset probability distributions, and raw dataset export.

$99 / month
Unlock Live Billboard